The facts that explain Hurricane Milton

A very recent study takes stock of the state of the climate. The occurrence of hurricanes like Milton is, unfortunately, a very predictable anomaly.

The facts that explain Hurricane Milton
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Reading it literally chills your blood. The opening lines of this “Report on the State of the Climate in 2024” set the tone: “We are on the brink of an irreversible climate catastrophe. This is unquestionably a global emergency. Much of the very fabric of life on Earth is at risk. We are entering a new critical and unpredictable phase of the climate crisis.”

Temperature anomalies during summer 2024 in the Gulf of Mexico.

Variations in the temperatures of the climate system

Signed by leading climatologists and experts on the subject, this report does not fundamentally add new elements to the scientific understanding of the issues. But it is very valuable, because it constitutes a comprehensive synthesis of the state of science on the trends that temporarily or permanently affect the climate.

For all those who have to make decisions (political and economic spheres) or who communicate on the subject, it is a remarkable reference document, accompanied by a series of graphics that are vital signs for the planet’s future. And above all, it is published at a time when the United States is facing extreme climatic events whose links to global warming are increasingly evident. 

Important graphics for understanding the climate trajectory

Planet dashboard
The planet's vital signs

What to take away from this report, if you don't have time to read everything:

1️⃣
Ocean temperatures are currently above their historical ranges. These anomalies reflect the combined effect of long-term climate change and short-term variability. Global daily average temperatures reached record levels for nearly half of 2023 and much of 2024. “Among the 35 planetary indicators we track each year, 25 are at record levels,” the authors write.
2️⃣
Fossil fuel consumption increased by 1.5% in 2023 compared to 2022, mainly due to substantial increases in coal (+1.6%) and oil consumption (+2.5%). Renewable energy also expanded strongly but just barely offsets the overall increase in energy.
3️⃣
Energy-related annual emissions increased by 2.1% in 2023 and now exceed 40 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent for the first time. The three largest emitting countries are China, the United States and India, which together account for more than half of global emissions. Anthropogenic emissions of aerosol pollutants are declining; because these aerosols have a net cooling effect, this reduction could lead to an acceleration of the rate of global warming, the authors write.
4️⃣
The increase in heat and precipitation extremes now far exceeds historical climate values. The rapid rise in global average temperatures has led to a massive increase in the incidence of heat extremes.

Researchers draw policymakers' attention to the systemic nature of the crisis we face (rising inequalities, poverty, depletion of the planet’s resources, risk of collapse of human societies, etc.).

“The multiplication of climate disasters each year shows that we are going through a major crisis and that the worst is yet to come if we continue as if nothing is happening”

Catastrophic or optimistic rhetoric does not provide real solutions for action, but it remains essential to take all measures that can slow and perhaps reverse current trends. “The multiplication of climate disasters each year shows that we are going through a major crisis and that the worst is yet to come if we continue as if nothing is happening.”

One conclusion is clear: “Rapid reduction in the use of fossil fuels should be an absolute priority. This could be achieved in part through a global carbon price high enough to limit emissions from wealthy countries while potentially providing funding for essential mitigation and adaptation programs for climate change.”

Reference: The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth 

William J Ripple, Christopher Wolf, Jillian W Gregg, Johan Rockström, Michael E Mann, Naomi Oreskes, Timothy M Lenton, Stefan Rahmstorf, Thomas M Newsome, Chi Xu ... Show moreAuthor NotesBioScience, biae087, https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biae087


This article has been automatically translated using AI. If you notice any errors, please don't hesitate to contact us.

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